NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ SBON
Points 67.0 67.5
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 18.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.7
Shooting DUQ SBON
Field Goals Made 23.2 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.5
Field Goal % 43.3% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.0
Free Throw % 73.4% 77.3%
Ball Control DUQ SBON
Rebounds 32.0 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.1
Turnovers 11.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.0
Steals 5.5 6.1
Fouls 14.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ SBON
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 65.1
% of Possessions with DUQ SBON
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 24.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.3%
Turnover 16.8% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ SBON
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 28.2%