NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ LAS
Points 72.8 64.5
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 20.5
Points From Free Throws 14.3 10.8
Shooting DUQ LAS
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.7
Field Goal % 44.7% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 14.3 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 15.1
Free Throw % 73.4% 71.6%
Ball Control DUQ LAS
Rebounds 38.4 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.0
Turnovers 9.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.4
Steals 5.6 5.5
Fouls 13.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ LAS
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 67.3
% of Possessions with DUQ LAS
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 27.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.8%
Turnover 13.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ LAS
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 24.3%