NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ STJOE
Points 69.0 69.0
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 24.4
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.7
Shooting DUQ STJOE
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 56.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 17.7
Free Throw % 73.4% 71.9%
Ball Control DUQ STJOE
Rebounds 35.2 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.8
Turnovers 10.8 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.0
Steals 7.3 6.5
Fouls 14.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ STJOE
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 67.0
% of Possessions with DUQ STJOE
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 31.6%
Player Fouled 19.3% 20.8%
Turnover 15.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ STJOE
Shot Blocked 7.2% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 28.0%