NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU NE
Points 78.3 66.1
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 15.8
Points From Free Throws 13.2 13.8
Shooting JMU NE
Field Goals Made 28.1 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 53.4
Field Goal % 48.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 28.1%
Free Throws Made 13.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.5%
Ball Control JMU NE
Rebounds 32.5 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 9.0
Turnovers 9.8 13.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 8.1 5.4
Fouls 14.8 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU NE
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 65.4
% of Possessions with JMU NE
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 23.4%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.2%
Turnover 14.0% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU NE
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 27.5%