NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU SDST
Points 79.2 70.7
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.3 22.0
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.5
Shooting JMU SDST
Field Goals Made 28.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 54.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.8
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.3%
Ball Control JMU SDST
Rebounds 35.2 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.8
Turnovers 9.3 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.5
Steals 8.8 4.8
Fouls 16.9 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU SDST
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 66.0
% of Possessions with JMU SDST
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 27.7%
Player Fouled 18.0% 23.5%
Turnover 13.0% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU SDST
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 20.9%