NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ MASS
Points 69.0 68.7
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 16.3
Points From Free Throws 15.3 15.1
Shooting DUQ MASS
Field Goals Made 23.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 56.1
Field Goal % 42.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 28.1%
Free Throws Made 15.3 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.2
Free Throw % 73.4% 68.2%
Ball Control DUQ MASS
Rebounds 33.4 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.6
Turnovers 11.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.1
Steals 6.9 6.5
Fouls 15.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ MASS
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 70.1
% of Possessions with DUQ MASS
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 23.3%
Player Fouled 23.6% 22.9%
Turnover 16.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ MASS
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 35.1%