NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU ELON
Points 85.4 64.4
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 43.4 28.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 21.4
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.0
Shooting JMU ELON
Field Goals Made 31.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 52.9
Field Goal % 50.8% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 21.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 68.8%
Ball Control JMU ELON
Rebounds 38.5 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.8
Turnovers 8.9 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.0
Steals 8.0 5.1
Fouls 16.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU ELON
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 66.4
% of Possessions with JMU ELON
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 28.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.7%
Turnover 12.6% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU ELON
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 24.8%