NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU HOF
Points 74.0 69.3
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 25.0
Points From Free Throws 13.0 11.5
Shooting JMU HOF
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 55.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.0 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 73.2%
Ball Control JMU HOF
Rebounds 36.8 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 6.4
Turnovers 10.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.2
Steals 7.3 5.3
Fouls 14.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU HOF
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 65.0
% of Possessions with JMU HOF
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 32.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.7%
Turnover 14.4% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU HOF
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 19.4%