NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ URI
Points 76.9 65.3
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 16.3
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.1
Shooting DUQ URI
Field Goals Made 27.6 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 52.0
Field Goal % 46.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 22.9
Free Throw % 73.4% 66.1%
Ball Control DUQ URI
Rebounds 34.0 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.2
Turnovers 8.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 6.5 2.7
Steals 7.5 4.3
Fouls 16.5 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ URI
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 65.2
% of Possessions with DUQ URI
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 21.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.9%
Turnover 11.9% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ URI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 11.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 27.4%