NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DUQ FOR
Points 69.0 63.1
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 19.6
Points From Free Throws 17.7 13.8
Shooting DUQ FOR
Field Goals Made 22.7 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 57.1
Field Goal % 44.3% 37.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 28.3%
Free Throws Made 17.7 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 20.5
Free Throw % 73.4% 67.2%
Ball Control DUQ FOR
Rebounds 34.9 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.3
Turnovers 12.5 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.3
Steals 6.5 7.2
Fouls 15.5 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DUQ FOR
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 70.0
% of Possessions with DUQ FOR
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 27.5%
Player Fouled 26.1% 22.2%
Turnover 17.8% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DUQ FOR
Shot Blocked 9.5% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 31.3%