NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU TOWS
Points 71.2 63.9
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 16.3
Points From Free Throws 14.1 15.4
Shooting JMU TOWS
Field Goals Made 24.8 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 53.9
Field Goal % 43.7% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 14.1 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 23.3
Free Throw % 69.7% 66.3%
Ball Control JMU TOWS
Rebounds 32.9 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 13.1
Turnovers 9.4 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.0
Steals 7.5 5.1
Fouls 14.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: James Mad

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU TOWS
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 69.1
% of Possessions with JMU TOWS
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 22.1%
Player Fouled 22.5% 21.7%
Turnover 13.7% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU TOWS
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 35.6%