NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU NCAT
Points 74.9 67.4
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 34.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 16.3
Points From Free Throws 14.6 16.5
Shooting NCCU NCAT
Field Goals Made 26.7 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 56.4
Field Goal % 46.0% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 25.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 23.4
Free Throw % 69.0% 70.8%
Ball Control NCCU NCAT
Rebounds 38.8 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.8
Turnovers 9.2 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.2
Steals 4.5 4.0
Fouls 16.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: NC A&T

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU NCAT
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 70.7
% of Possessions with NCCU NCAT
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.4%
Turnover 13.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU NCAT
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 26.1%