NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU UNCO
Points 83.3 79.0
Total Points   162.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 28.4
Points From Free Throws 16.4 12.6
Shooting EWU UNCO
Field Goals Made 28.7 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 61.2
Field Goal % 51.0% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 16.4 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 16.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 74.6%
Ball Control EWU UNCO
Rebounds 34.5 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 7.4
Turnovers 11.2 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.0
Steals 5.1 6.1
Fouls 14.7 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU UNCO
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 71.2
% of Possessions with EWU UNCO
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 30.0%
Player Fouled 24.5% 20.0%
Turnover 15.2% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU UNCO
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 21.2%