NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP MORG
Points 63.9 69.9
Total Points   133.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 11.8
Points From Free Throws 14.5 15.4
Shooting COPP MORG
Field Goals Made 21.9 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 56.1
Field Goal % 38.6% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 3.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 26.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 20.5
Free Throw % 72.6% 75.2%
Ball Control COPP MORG
Rebounds 32.6 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.7
Turnovers 13.7 14.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.6
Steals 7.8 7.3
Fouls 14.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP MORG
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 69.7
% of Possessions with COPP MORG
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 17.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 19.5%
Turnover 18.9% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP MORG
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 35.0%