NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU SLU
Points 73.8 76.3
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 27.1
Points From Free Throws 10.8 14.8
Shooting FGCU SLU
Field Goals Made 27.0 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 54.6
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 10.8 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 19.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 75.1%
Ball Control FGCU SLU
Rebounds 32.2 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.7
Turnovers 9.3 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.4
Steals 6.0 5.5
Fouls 14.4 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU SLU
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 66.2
% of Possessions with FGCU SLU
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.1%
Turnover 13.6% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU SLU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 24.9%