NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU LIP
Points 74.1 77.4
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.8 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 30.1
Points From Free Throws 7.5 10.4
Shooting FGCU LIP
Field Goals Made 29.0 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 58.2
Field Goal % 47.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 7.5 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 11.1 13.5
Free Throw % 68.1% 77.5%
Ball Control FGCU LIP
Rebounds 34.5 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.1
Turnovers 10.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.4
Steals 5.0 5.8
Fouls 12.1 10.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU LIP
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 65.8
% of Possessions with FGCU LIP
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 33.2%
Player Fouled 14.8% 17.6%
Turnover 15.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU LIP
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 19.5%