NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER BUCK
Points 63.4 65.8
Total Points   129.3
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 28.4
Points From Free Throws 11.0 9.9
Shooting AMER BUCK
Field Goals Made 22.0 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 50.7
Field Goal % 41.7% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 26.9 25.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 11.0 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 14.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 70.3%
Ball Control AMER BUCK
Rebounds 31.7 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.2
Turnovers 9.3 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.6
Steals 5.1 4.9
Fouls 14.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER BUCK
Total Possessions 62.9
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 59.8
% of Possessions with AMER BUCK
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 35.7%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.2%
Turnover 14.9% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER BUCK
Shot Blocked 5.1% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 23.9%