NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER HOW
Points 72.2 72.6
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 26.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.4
Shooting AMER HOW
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 50.5
Field Goal % 47.9% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 42.3%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 76.0%
Ball Control AMER HOW
Rebounds 28.4 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.4
Turnovers 9.9 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.0
Steals 5.5 4.4
Fouls 16.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Howard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER HOW
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 63.5
% of Possessions with AMER HOW
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 27.3%
Player Fouled 24.1% 24.8%
Turnover 15.0% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER HOW
Shot Blocked 4.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.9%