NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER ARMY
Points 64.3 59.4
Total Points   123.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.2 26.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 25.6
Points From Free Throws 10.6 7.5
Shooting AMER ARMY
Field Goals Made 22.6 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.2 50.6
Field Goal % 44.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 13.1
2 Pointers Attempted 27.3 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 10.6 7.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 12.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 60.0%
Ball Control AMER ARMY
Rebounds 32.0 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.5
Turnovers 9.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.3 2.9
Steals 5.7 4.4
Fouls 13.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Army

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER ARMY
Total Possessions 61.9
Effective Scoring Chances 60.2 58.9
% of Possessions with AMER ARMY
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 34.9%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.6%
Turnover 15.0% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER ARMY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.4%