NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU DEP
Points 70.0 73.0
Total Points   143.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 20.4
Points From Free Throws 8.6 14.6
Shooting EMU DEP
Field Goals Made 27.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.6
Field Goal % 45.2% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 8.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 19.8
Free Throw % 66.6% 73.8%
Ball Control EMU DEP
Rebounds 32.2 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.5
Turnovers 9.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 15.8 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU DEP
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 65.6
% of Possessions with EMU DEP
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 25.8%
Player Fouled 16.4% 23.0%
Turnover 13.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU DEP
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 24.4%