NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE PRE
Points 76.7 63.6
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 15.0
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.2
Shooting MORE PRE
Field Goals Made 26.8 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 55.0
Field Goal % 50.2% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.4% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.0
Free Throw % 73.2% 66.0%
Ball Control MORE PRE
Rebounds 37.1 28.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.8
Turnovers 11.6 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.5
Steals 5.5 6.3
Fouls 16.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE PRE
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 66.4
% of Possessions with MORE PRE
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 21.2%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.5%
Turnover 17.0% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE PRE
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 21.7%