NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN PRE
Points 75.9 71.3
Total Points   147.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 20.4
Points From Free Throws 22.5 14.5
Shooting WIN PRE
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 47.9 55.7
Field Goal % 48.7% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 22.5 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 32.5 22.0
Free Throw % 69.3% 66.0%
Ball Control WIN PRE
Rebounds 34.0 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.5
Turnovers 12.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.1
Steals 5.4 6.8
Fouls 17.3 21.6

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN PRE
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.4
% of Possessions with WIN PRE
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 26.9%
Player Fouled 30.2% 24.2%
Turnover 17.5% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN PRE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 27.2%