NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU OHIO
Points 64.4 79.3
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 27.7
Points From Free Throws 10.5 14.5
Shooting EMU OHIO
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 59.0
Field Goal % 41.4% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 10.5 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 19.6
Free Throw % 66.6% 74.1%
Ball Control EMU OHIO
Rebounds 34.7 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.5
Turnovers 11.6 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.7
Steals 4.4 6.7
Fouls 15.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU OHIO
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 70.8
% of Possessions with EMU OHIO
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 33.4%
Player Fouled 18.6% 21.6%
Turnover 16.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU OHIO
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 27.8%