NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP SBON
Points 51.6 79.1
Total Points   130.7
Points From 2-Pointers 25.1 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 25.5
Points From Free Throws 10.8 17.1
Shooting COPP SBON
Field Goals Made 17.8 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 53.7
Field Goal % 33.8% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 36.7% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 10.8 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 22.2
Free Throw % 72.6% 77.3%
Ball Control COPP SBON
Rebounds 26.2 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.6
Turnovers 14.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.7
Steals 5.1 8.4
Fouls 14.8 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Bonavent

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP SBON
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 61.6 68.3
% of Possessions with COPP SBON
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 27.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.8%
Turnover 21.2% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP SBON
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 38.7%