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Morehead St at Belmont
Sat Jan 18, 2020
5:00pm ET
Nashville, TN
Morehead St at Belmont: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Belmont by 16.5, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MORE | adv | BEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-12-0 | 16-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 8-3-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 8-11-0 |
Morehead St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Alabama | +22.0 | L by 32 | -10.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Shawnee State | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Purdue | +29.5 | L by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mercer | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Penn St | +13.0 | L by 23 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Bellarmine | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | Austin Peay | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | N Alabama | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Indiana | +11.0 | L by 1 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Alice Lloyd | -- | W by 62 | -- |
| 12/31 | Away | SE Missouri | -8.5 | W by 19 | +10.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | TN Tech | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | TN State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | E Illinois | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | SIU Edward | -5.0 | L by 13 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | TN Martin | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Indiana | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | W Illinois | -11.0 | W by 14 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | TN State | -5.0 | W by 19 | +14.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TN Tech | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | SIU Edward | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Illinois | -16.0 | W by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | TN Martin | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | S Indiana | -15.5 | L by 7 | -22.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | W Illinois | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | SE Missouri | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lindenwood | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | SIU Edward | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | TN Martin | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Illinois | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| BEL -16.5 | Open | -15.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -15.5 | Low | -15.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 849 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Belmont won the game 804 times (94.7%).
- The team like Morehead St. won the game 45 times (5.3%).
- The team like Morehead St. did better against the spread, going 427-412-10 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3059 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Morehead St. did better against the spread, going 1539-1462-58 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -- | -16.5 |
| Open | -16.5 | -- | -16.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 04:53 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 01/18 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -17.0 |
| 01/18 06:40 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 01/17 09:35 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
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