NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE BEL
Points 71.8 71.6
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.7 13.3
Shooting MORE BEL
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 56.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 10.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 18.2
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.1%
Ball Control MORE BEL
Rebounds 37.7 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 6.5
Turnovers 11.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.3
Steals 5.6 6.7
Fouls 15.0 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE BEL
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 67.0
% of Possessions with MORE BEL
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 27.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 21.4%
Turnover 16.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE BEL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 19.3%