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Morehead St vs. Belmont
Sat Mar 6, 2021
8:00pm ET
Evansville, IN
(Neutral Site)
Morehead St vs. Belmont: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Belmont by 7, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MORE | adv | BEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-12-0 | 16-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 8-3-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 8-11-0 |
Morehead St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Alabama | +22.0 | L by 32 | -10.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Shawnee State | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Purdue | +29.5 | L by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Mercer | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Penn St | +13.0 | L by 23 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Bellarmine | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 41 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | Austin Peay | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Chattanooga | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | N Alabama | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/19 | Away | Indiana | +11.0 | L by 1 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Alice Lloyd | -- | W by 62 | -- |
| 12/31 | Away | SE Missouri | -8.5 | W by 19 | +10.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | TN Tech | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | TN State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | E Illinois | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | SIU Edward | -5.0 | L by 13 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | TN Martin | -8.5 | W by 18 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Indiana | -9.5 | W by 11 | +1.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | W Illinois | -11.0 | W by 14 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | TN State | -5.0 | W by 19 | +14.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TN Tech | -11.0 | W by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | SIU Edward | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Illinois | -16.0 | W by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | TN Martin | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | S Indiana | -15.5 | L by 7 | -22.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | W Illinois | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | SE Missouri | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Lindenwood | -21.0 | W by 18 | -3.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | SIU Edward | -10.0 | W by 15 | +5.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | TN Martin | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Illinois | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| BEL -7.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2897 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Belmont won the game 2168 times (74.8%).
- The team like Morehead St. won the game 729 times (25.2%).
- The team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 1431-1392-74 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 275 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Morehead St. did better against the spread, going 145-121-9 (54.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| Open | -5.5 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/06 08:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/06 07:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 07:55 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/06 07:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 06:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 06:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 05:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 05:08 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 05:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 04:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 03:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 03:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 03:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 02:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 02:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 02:05 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 11:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 11:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/06 09:54 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/06 09:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:18 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:14 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 03/06 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 03/06 08:44 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 03/06 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
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