NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN ETSU
Points 70.2 72.4
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 25.8
Points From Free Throws 22.1 14.9
Shooting WIN ETSU
Field Goals Made 20.9 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 49.3 60.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 22.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 31.9 22.6
Free Throw % 69.3% 66.1%
Ball Control WIN ETSU
Rebounds 33.5 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 16.3
Turnovers 12.8 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.9
Steals 5.4 7.0
Fouls 15.0 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Tenn St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN ETSU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 75.8
% of Possessions with WIN ETSU
2 Point Attempt 35.9% 36.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 32.3%
Player Fouled 30.8% 21.1%
Turnover 18.0% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN ETSU
Shot Blocked 11.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 40.1%