NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE OSU
Points 65.8 71.8
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 16.8
Points From Free Throws 10.2 15.8
Shooting MORE OSU
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 56.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 10.2 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 21.0
Free Throw % 73.2% 75.2%
Ball Control MORE OSU
Rebounds 35.2 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.6
Turnovers 10.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.9
Steals 4.2 5.2
Fouls 16.5 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE OSU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 69.5
% of Possessions with MORE OSU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 21.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 24.4%
Turnover 16.0% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE OSU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 27.7%