NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU COLO
Points 74.4 85.7
Total Points   160.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 25.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 18.2
Shooting EWU COLO
Field Goals Made 26.4 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 57.1
Field Goal % 47.4% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 44.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 23.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 76.0%
Ball Control EWU COLO
Rebounds 27.0 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 9.9
Turnovers 11.6 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.9
Steals 5.1 6.5
Fouls 17.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU COLO
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 71.7
% of Possessions with EWU COLO
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 22.5%
Player Fouled 21.7% 24.9%
Turnover 16.1% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU COLO
Shot Blocked 3.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 32.2%