NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU CIT
Points 72.2 73.6
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 18.7
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.9
Shooting NCCU CIT
Field Goals Made 26.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 54.0
Field Goal % 47.1% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 20.9
Free Throw % 69.0% 71.4%
Ball Control NCCU CIT
Rebounds 30.1 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.3
Turnovers 9.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.8
Steals 6.0 4.0
Fouls 15.9 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Citadel

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU CIT
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 67.1
% of Possessions with NCCU CIT
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.3%
Turnover 14.0% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU CIT
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 29.8%