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Boston Col at Virginia
Sat Jan 28, 2023
12:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Boston Col at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 14, Total Points: 122.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BC | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-20-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-14-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-0 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 9-11-0 | 7-10-0 |
Boston Col Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Fairfield | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Citadel | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Richmond | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Harvard | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Colorado St | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Loyola-Chi | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Vanderbilt | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NC State | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Central Conn | -16.0 | W by 14 | -2.0 |
| 12/08 | Home | Holy Cross | -21.0 | W by 31 | +10.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | St Johns | +6.0 | W by 6 | +12.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lehigh | -16.5 | W by 16 | -0.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Wake Forest | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | GA Tech | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Clemson | +10.5 | L by 11 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | VA Tech | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Notre Dame | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Syracuse | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Florida St | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | L by 15 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Miami | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Florida St | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | NC State | +5.0 | L by 11 | -6.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Pittsburgh | +1.5 | L by 25 | -23.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Louisville | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Miami | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Clemson | +7.5 | W by 21 | +28.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/19 | Away | Providence | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | UNLV | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -14.0 | Open | -16.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -15.0 | Low | -14.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1367 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 1253 times (91.7%).
- The team like Boston College won the game 114 times (8.3%).
- The team like Boston College did better against the spread, going 670-666-31 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 546 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 287-255-4 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.0 | -- |
| Open | -15.5 | -15.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 12:04 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 01/28 11:59 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:54 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:50 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:49 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:03 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 01/27 10:43 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:24 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 01/27 07:08 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:31 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
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