NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC UVA
Points 61.8 63.3
Total Points   125.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 20.2
Points From Free Throws 8.7 8.3
Shooting BC UVA
Field Goals Made 22.9 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 58.4
Field Goal % 40.4% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 8.7 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 11.7 13.3
Free Throw % 74.4% 62.1%
Ball Control BC UVA
Rebounds 36.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 8.6
Turnovers 9.6 6.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.9
Steals 4.1 6.0
Fouls 11.4 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: Boston Col

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC UVA
Total Possessions 64.1
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 66.1
% of Possessions with BC UVA
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 26.3%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.8%
Turnover 14.9% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC UVA
Shot Blocked 8.5% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 23.5%