NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN CCU
Points 78.6 73.2
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 21.0
Points From Free Throws 19.8 13.7
Shooting WIN CCU
Field Goals Made 24.7 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 58.8
Field Goal % 42.9% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.6 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 19.8 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 28.7 19.8
Free Throw % 69.3% 69.4%
Ball Control WIN CCU
Rebounds 35.9 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.6
Turnovers 9.4 12.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.3
Steals 6.6 5.3
Fouls 15.2 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN CCU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 71.5
% of Possessions with WIN CCU
2 Point Attempt 33.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 26.3%
Player Fouled 25.8% 20.7%
Turnover 12.8% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN CCU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 29.5%