NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP GW
Points 58.1 79.2
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 29.4
Points From Free Throws 9.3 17.2
Shooting COPP GW
Field Goals Made 21.3 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.0 54.7
Field Goal % 33.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 28.9
2 Point Shooting % 35.5% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 9.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 12.8 22.9
Free Throw % 72.6% 75.4%
Ball Control COPP GW
Rebounds 31.7 43.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.9
Turnovers 11.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.6
Steals 6.8 7.4
Fouls 14.5 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP GW
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.1
% of Possessions with COPP GW
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 34.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.8% 20.2%
Turnover 15.5% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP GW
Shot Blocked 8.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 31.1%