NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER GW
Points 69.4 76.5
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 30.9
Points From Free Throws 8.8 13.8
Shooting AMER GW
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 53.4
Field Goal % 42.4% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 8.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 18.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 75.4%
Ball Control AMER GW
Rebounds 32.3 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.7
Turnovers 8.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.2
Steals 5.1 4.7
Fouls 14.3 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: American

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER GW
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 64.7
% of Possessions with AMER GW
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 33.5%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.1%
Turnover 13.1% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER GW
Shot Blocked 6.0% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.4%