NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC NEB
Points 74.0 76.7
Total Points   150.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 30.2
Points From Free Throws 10.4 13.3
Shooting BC NEB
Field Goals Made 26.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.9 59.5
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 10.4 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 17.4
Free Throw % 74.4% 76.0%
Ball Control BC NEB
Rebounds 36.2 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.7
Turnovers 8.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.2
Steals 5.4 5.3
Fouls 13.8 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC NEB
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 69.8
% of Possessions with BC NEB
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 34.7%
Player Fouled 17.3% 19.6%
Turnover 12.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC NEB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 25.0%