NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU GASO
Points 72.9 74.0
Total Points   146.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 31.3
Points From Free Throws 14.2 11.4
Shooting FGCU GASO
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.3
Field Goal % 45.3% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 14.2 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 15.9
Free Throw % 68.1% 71.5%
Ball Control FGCU GASO
Rebounds 36.2 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.0
Turnovers 11.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.5
Steals 6.4 6.2
Fouls 12.7 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU GASO
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 68.0
% of Possessions with FGCU GASO
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 34.5%
Player Fouled 22.8% 18.1%
Turnover 16.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU GASO
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 25.9%