NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC ND
Points 70.1 66.1
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 25.9
Points From Free Throws 10.4 11.2
Shooting BC ND
Field Goals Made 26.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 56.3
Field Goal % 44.6% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 10.4 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 15.2
Free Throw % 74.4% 73.7%
Ball Control BC ND
Rebounds 34.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.2
Turnovers 8.1 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.3
Steals 5.5 5.1
Fouls 13.0 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Notre Dame

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC ND
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 65.5
% of Possessions with BC ND
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 32.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 19.5%
Turnover 12.1% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC ND
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 26.3%