NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU LIB
Points 67.5 71.3
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 32.5
Points From Free Throws 8.6 8.8
Shooting FGCU LIB
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 56.0
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 27.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 8.6 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 13.7
Free Throw % 68.1% 64.5%
Ball Control FGCU LIB
Rebounds 32.9 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 6.7
Turnovers 10.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.8
Steals 5.1 4.8
Fouls 13.3 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU LIB
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 63.9
% of Possessions with FGCU LIB
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 39.0%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.1%
Turnover 16.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU LIB
Shot Blocked 3.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 20.4%