NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE JVST
Points 70.8 60.9
Total Points   131.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 11.6
Points From Free Throws 12.1 13.8
Shooting MORE JVST
Field Goals Made 24.9 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 54.7
Field Goal % 47.2% 39.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 3.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 68.8%
Ball Control MORE JVST
Rebounds 33.9 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 10.5
Turnovers 11.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.0
Steals 5.4 6.2
Fouls 15.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE JVST
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 67.0
% of Possessions with MORE JVST
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 17.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.6%
Turnover 17.3% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE JVST
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 28.9%