NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORE PEAY
Points 77.6 67.4
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 18.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.7
Shooting MORE PEAY
Field Goals Made 27.6 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 58.0
Field Goal % 50.3% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.6% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 19.3
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.9%
Ball Control MORE PEAY
Rebounds 38.2 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 20.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.1
Turnovers 10.1 7.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.1
Steals 3.8 6.0
Fouls 14.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORE PEAY
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 69.0
% of Possessions with MORE PEAY
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.6%
Turnover 15.1% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORE PEAY
Shot Blocked 3.7% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 24.6%