NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER L-MD
Points 69.9 62.6
Total Points   132.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 23.3
Points From Free Throws 11.0 9.6
Shooting AMER L-MD
Field Goals Made 25.4 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 51.2
Field Goal % 49.7% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.9 30.0
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 11.0 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 15.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 64.1%
Ball Control AMER L-MD
Rebounds 29.7 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 8.3
Turnovers 9.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 1.5 1.4
Steals 5.6 4.8
Fouls 14.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-MD

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER L-MD
Total Possessions 63.7
Effective Scoring Chances 60.7 61.1
% of Possessions with AMER L-MD
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.9%
Turnover 14.6% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER L-MD
Shot Blocked 2.8% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 26.2%