NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP UMES
Points 58.5 62.5
Total Points   120.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 16.3
Points From Free Throws 12.6 14.4
Shooting COPP UMES
Field Goals Made 20.2 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 54.1
Field Goal % 37.4% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 28.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 20.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.8%
Ball Control COPP UMES
Rebounds 34.0 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.8
Turnovers 14.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 7.3 8.2
Fouls 14.9 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Coppin St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP UMES
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 67.6
% of Possessions with COPP UMES
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 23.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.3%
Turnover 20.1% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP UMES
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 32.7%