NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU RAD
Points 65.5 68.2
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 16.4
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.0
Shooting NCCU RAD
Field Goals Made 24.1 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 55.2
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 17.4
Free Throw % 70.6% 68.8%
Ball Control NCCU RAD
Rebounds 32.2 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.3
Turnovers 14.0 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.6
Steals 5.7 6.5
Fouls 16.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU RAD
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 66.6
% of Possessions with NCCU RAD
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 21.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 23.8%
Turnover 20.4% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU RAD
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 31.5%