NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCCU RAD
Points 70.6 74.9
Total Points   145.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 22.2
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.3
Shooting NCCU RAD
Field Goals Made 24.6 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 58.6
Field Goal % 42.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 18.1
Free Throw % 69.0% 73.7%
Ball Control NCCU RAD
Rebounds 34.0 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 11.9
Turnovers 8.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.9
Steals 4.2 3.8
Fouls 13.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCCU RAD
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 70.4
% of Possessions with NCCU RAD
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 28.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 20.5%
Turnover 12.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCCU RAD
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 34.7%