NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN RAD
Points 73.5 72.8
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 23.8
Points From Free Throws 17.5 12.4
Shooting WIN RAD
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 59.5
Field Goal % 43.9% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 16.8
Free Throw % 69.3% 73.7%
Ball Control WIN RAD
Rebounds 35.5 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 11.7
Turnovers 10.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.4
Steals 3.9 5.1
Fouls 13.8 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN RAD
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.5
% of Possessions with WIN RAD
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 29.2%
Player Fouled 27.2% 20.0%
Turnover 14.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN RAD
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 32.8%