NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP DSU
Points 57.8 67.4
Total Points   125.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 13.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 17.3
Shooting COPP DSU
Field Goals Made 19.9 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 53.6
Field Goal % 37.6% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.6 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 23.9
Free Throw % 72.6% 72.3%
Ball Control COPP DSU
Rebounds 30.3 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 13.6
Turnovers 16.2 14.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.8
Steals 7.1 9.8
Fouls 15.7 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP DSU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 69.8
% of Possessions with COPP DSU
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 16.0%
Player Fouled 18.9% 22.1%
Turnover 22.9% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 13.8% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP DSU
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 39.2%