NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN WASH
Points 73.0 85.3
Total Points   158.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 26.5
Points From Free Throws 19.3 16.4
Shooting WIN WASH
Field Goals Made 23.3 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 59.8
Field Goal % 41.4% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 61.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 19.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 27.8 22.9
Free Throw % 69.3% 71.5%
Ball Control WIN WASH
Rebounds 33.4 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.0
Turnovers 11.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.2
Steals 4.9 6.0
Fouls 18.3 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN WASH
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 74.1
% of Possessions with WIN WASH
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 29.5%
Player Fouled 26.4% 24.4%
Turnover 15.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN WASH
Shot Blocked 8.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 29.7%