NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EWU SDST
Points 77.3 77.2
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.9 30.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.2
Shooting EWU SDST
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 57.4
Field Goal % 47.5% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 26.0 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 19.4
Free Throw % 77.5% 73.3%
Ball Control EWU SDST
Rebounds 33.1 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 7.8
Turnovers 12.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.2
Steals 5.4 6.0
Fouls 17.2 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EWU SDST
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 69.0
% of Possessions with EWU SDST
2 Point Attempt 32.8% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 31.8%
Player Fouled 22.0% 24.1%
Turnover 16.9% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken EWU SDST
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.0%