NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GASO USA
Points 80.0 78.3
Total Points   158.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.3 18.1
Shooting GASO USA
Field Goals Made 28.9 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 57.5
Field Goal % 47.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 13.3 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 24.3
Free Throw % 71.5% 74.7%
Ball Control GASO USA
Rebounds 36.8 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 7.6
Turnovers 11.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.9
Steals 6.2 6.2
Fouls 17.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: GA Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GASO USA
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 71.3
% of Possessions with GASO USA
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 22.8%
Turnover 15.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GASO USA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 22.2%